This webinar is not about forecasting (where you attempt to predict the future) or backcasting (where you imagine an ideal future and trace your steps backward) but about sidecasting and anticipatory awareness and triggering. Understanding the evolutionary potential of the here and now and identify coherent and viable near term actions that increase resilience in an increasingly uncertain future.
Dave Snowden will cover methods for the development of micro-scenarios that can be used to imagine a broader range of future possibilities, and the move from prediction to a state of awareness. This webinar’s special guest, Wendy Schulz, will elaborate on futures research, futures fluency, and the role vision and goals play when your basis for action is the real present rather than the non-existent future.
Key points for this webinar:
- Building an awareness of change happening around you, and how to identify emergent trends and weak signals
- How to work within the current landscape of possibilities
- What happens when we experience the future as a creative challenge
Other webinars in this series:
- A Vector-Based Theory of Change (June 4, 2019, recording)
- Distributed Ethnography & Ideation (November 13, 2019)
*** Cognitive Edge Premium Members qualify for a complimentary ticket for one of the webinars in this series. See email for details.
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Dave Snowden divides his time between two roles: founder Chief Scientific Officer of Cognitive Edge and the founder and Director of the Centre for Applied Complexity at the University of Wales. His work is international in nature and covers government and industry looking at complex issues relating to strategy, organisational decision making and decision making. He has pioneered a science-based approach to organisations drawing on anthropology, neuroscience and complex adaptive systems theory. His paper with Boone on Leadership was the cover article for the Harvard Business Review in November 2007 and also won the Academy of Management award for the best practitioner paper in the same year. He has previously won a special award from the Academy for originality in his work on knowledge management. During his tenure at IBM, he was selected as one of the six on-demand thinkers for w worldwide advertising campaign His company Cognitive Edge exists to integrate academic thinking with practice in organisations throughout the world and operates on a network model working with Academics, Government, Commercial Organisations, NGOs and Independent Consultants. He is also the main designer of the SenseMaker® software suite, originally developed in the field of counter-terrorism and now being actively deployed in both Government and Industry to handle issues of impact measurement, customer/ employee insight, narrative-based knowledge management, strategic foresight and risk management.